Is Mark Zuckerburg the new Bill Gates? Will history repeat itself?
Rumor has it that the Zuck Dawg himself could be attending Apple’s Big event on Tuesday to finally roll out the much anticipated Facebook for Ipad via IOS 5. If this is true, I can’t help but think about history repeating itself. It’s as if we are watching a scene from Pirates of Silicon Valley and Mark Zuckerburg is playing the role of Bill Gates.
I’m sure Apple is feeling extremely confident with a 400 BILLION dollar market cap, almost double that of Microsoft today. After all we are in the age of the mobile application and Apple is not only the King of this space, they are practically a dictatorship–talk about big brother. Enter relative newcomer Mark Zuckerburg and his evolutionary new vision for Facebook. If I were Mark, I’d be playing nice with Apple as well, reminiscent of early Bill Gates. Before Apple realized it, Windows ran the world and Apple took a back seat.
I see the same forces here at work with Facebook, Apple, Amazon and Google. We can learn a lot from history and what history says to me is that Apple’s stronghold will last only as long as they remain a dominant force in the phone and tablet marketplace. The need for mobile applications on mobile devices will one day be non-existent. The question is… how long before that day arrives?
What about the “Post-Mobile Application Era,” which is coming sooner than most think? What happens when you can create software that works as efficiently as a perfectly programmed application from the App-Store and all you need is a decent browser with internet connection? What happens when there is no application necessary? What happens when Facebook creates that interface and it works seamlessly on ANY device? What happens when Facebook integrates ALL media and enhanced media sharing tools and it’s available on ANY device you can imagine? When this day comes, it won’t matter if you have a $499 iPad or a $199 Amazon Fire!: your media-friendly, shareable Facebook account will be available and operable the SAME on all of them! That will be the day that Facebook doesn’t need Apple. They already don’t need Google and Amazon. Facebook’s new partnerships with Netflix, Spotify, and a host of other media giants have perfectly positioned them to be the new gatekeeper of all things media.
This will give Facebook a tremendous advantage. They won’t have hardware issues to deal with so they will be able to focus on one thing and one thing only: Becoming “The Social Media Platform” in the information age much like Windows became the one and only solution for all hardware manufacturers. I believe Facebook is best positioned to play that role in the near future.
So will history repeat itself? Only time will tell… Stay tuned for the big event on Tuesday!